A stable, well-functioning financial market for all
Result
2026
ESRB warns of vulnerabilities in the financial system linked to frontier AI models
The European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB), the EU’s macroprudential oversight authority, is issuing a formal warning regarding vulnerabilities in the financial system linked to frontier AI models. The ESRB's warning calls for relevant authorities to reflect these risks in supervisory and oversight work.
Financial stability and prepardness (2026:1)
The Swedish financial system is stable and the financial sector’s preparedness for crisis and war has been strengthened. The geopolitical situation increases the risk of both financial and operational shocks in the financial system. The rapid technological development, particularly within artificial intelligence, is also enhancing the significance of operational risks and could make the risks in the financial sector more complex and difficult to assess.
2025
Stability in the Financial System (2025:2)
The sentiment in the Swedish economy has improved in recent months even if households continue to demonstrate weaker sentiment than normal.
Stability in the Financial System (2025:1): Uncertainty could persist for a while
The uncertainty in geopolitical and economic developments is high, and the risk of negative shocks is higher now than it was last autumn. At the same time, Swedish banks have large capital buffers and good profitability, which builds resilience. Financial firms, households and firms all need to be prepared that the uncertainty could persist for a while. These are some of the conclusions from FI's first stability report of the year.
2024
Stability in the Financial System (2024:2): Improved outlook, but risk of set-backs
The outlook for financial stability has improved somewhat in the past six months. Sweden continues to experience a mild economic downturn, but interest rate cuts are contributing to improved optimism about the future. At the same time, the uncertain global economic and geopolitical situation is leading to heightened risks, in part in the form of cyber attacks. These are the conclusions of FI’s second stability report for the year.
Stability in the Financial System (2024:1): A slightly better outlook in an uncertain environment
The outlook for financial stability has improved somewhat, and uncertainty has decreased, but we are still in the middle of a recession. Higher costs for both interest payments and other goods and services are putting pressure on households and firms. The worsened global security situation is also imposing increased demands on the operational resilience in the financial sectorn. These are the conclusions of this year's first stability report.
2023
FI Analysis No. 41: Commercial real estate firms may need to reduce their debt
In this analysis, we estimate how much Swedish listed and larger privately owned commercial real estate firms need to reduce their debt in a climate of rising financing costs and falling property values. We calculate the firms need to reduce their debt to maintain certain levels of interest coverage ratio and loan-to-value.
Stability in the Financial System (2023:2): Adjustments to higher interest rates remain to be made
The higher interest rate means that households and companies need to make adjustments to their finances. Finansinspektionen (FI) is now seeing a decline in risk-taking. However, the change in the state of the economy and uncertainty regarding how long the higher interest rates will remain pose a risk to financial stability. Commercial real estate undertakings with high debt are particularly at risk should the interest rates remain high. These are the conclusions of the second Stability Report of the year.
IMF assessment of the financial sector in Sweden is complete
During 2022, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) carried out a special assessment of the financial sector in Sweden, a so-called FSAP (Financial Sector Assessment Program). FSAPs are conducted regularly for member countries with systemically important financial markets. The most recent FSAP for Sweden by the IMF was in 2016.